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Gửi bàigửi bởi panxing18 » Thứ 2 07/01/19 10:33

This is part two of a three-part weekly film analysis on the performance of Patrick Mahomes. Part one here.I mentioned Tuesday that we’re nearing a point with Patrick Mahomes where it won’t matter what the defense does. That he’ll just rise above it.Franchise quarterbacks are worth well beyond the salary cap hit that they incur. They find ways to elevate organizations all around them. The circumstances weren’t perfect in New England. There were injuries on both sides of the ball www.kansascitychiefsteamonline.com , a lot of talent had to miss the game. It didn’t matter. Yes, the game started out rough, but regardless of the struggles, Mahomes elevated his play and made up for significant losses to come back and take the lead against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. There are positive things from that game, and we’ll talk about a few here today.Something smartThis is a sneaky great play by Mahomes, both from the mental and physical side.Late in the third quarter, with the Chiefs trailing 27-19, Mahomes and company have a chance to come within one (they do) or tie (I would’ve) the Patriots. They’re in the red zone at the New England 14-yard line on a second-and-10. The Chiefs are lined up in a closed formation with Travis Kelce lined up into the boundary, attached to the offensive line with three receivers lined up to the field and Kareem Hunt in the backfield to the field side as well.The Patriots are showing man-free coverage (Cover 1). They had done a good job of muddying things up for Mahomes earlier in the game with a variety of tweaks to the pre-snap looks. One thing they had success with was moving one or two players in the box around after Mahomes had set the protection.On this play, Mahomes initially sets the protection to No. 23, Patrick Chung, lined up in the box but adjusts to No. 53, Kyle Van Noy. After the protection is set, Chung slides over to cover Hunt. On the snap, Van Noy blitzes. Mahomes knows it’s man-free coverage.There is a big void in the boundary-side corner of the end zone if the Chiefs can get someone over there. Luckily for them, they have the fastest player in theNFL lined up as the No. 3 receiver in the slot. Hill ran vertically for two yards and then darted to the corner of the end zone. With Kelce running an underneath route across the field, there’s plenty of space to deliver a ball. If the middle-field safety can be occupied long enough, there’s a window to throw. Mahomes knows this and holds the safety by looking to the wide side of the field.The throw is nothing short of perfect. At the absolute perfect time, Mahomes flips his hips and eyes to deliver the throw. He waited for the last second to deliver the ball into the corner. The placement, touch and accuracy of the throw were perfect. Great design to get the talent in a perfect place to succeed and excellent execution by both quarterback and receiver.Something specialThe last throw of Mahomes’ first half was something bad and led to a turnover and a lost opportunity for points. The next chance the kid got to deliver a throw? Whew.The Chiefs need to convert this critical third-and-2. Already down 24-9, they simply can’t give the ball back to the Patriots.The Chiefs are lined up in a familiar look they like to run in situations like these. They have Kelce, Hill and Hunt all lined up into the boundary in a condensed look. We talked about it in the season’s first edition of 45 seconds:Kelce is going to run a whip route, Hill is going to run a middle curl and Hunt is going to run a swing. As the video above shows, they’ve been able to hit Hunt on the swing with space to convert. The Patriots are in Cover 2, so the boundary corner is playing the flats. Mahomes wanted to hit Hunt again, but with the corner covering him, he had to improvise. He rolls to his right and Hunt turns upfield. A reminder—this is third-and-2. It’s as gutsy as it gets to deliver a ball in this situation down the field. If the Chiefs don’t convert, they’re likely to give the ball back to the Patriots who are already up two scores. That didn’t shake the kid. The second view of the throw is my favorite. This was the first pass attempt for Mahomes after his second interception. This is a critical play in prime time. In that situation, he delivers a throw with small margin for error. The fearlessness Mahomes displays rubs off on people. He’s confident and more than capable of doing things that elevate the team around him. Both sides of the ball are energized by these kinds of plays and the frequency we’re seeing them at. He’s running out of things to prove and it’s only Week 6. The kid is for real.Final Chiefs’ 53-man roster projection Now that the final preseason game has ended, there’s nothing left but the cruelest weekend in the NFL season: the cutdown to the initial 53-man roster. Some will make the roster unexpectedly, some cuts will happen that we should have seen coming and some guys will make the initial 53 only to get cut when the Chiefs sign or trade for another team’s unwanted players. That’s why it’s the initial 53 and not the final 53.But, it is the final prediction from the staff here at Arrowhead Pride. As with the first edition, I’ve put this list together using roster size information compiled by Gary McKenzie and with additional input from the whole AP staff.Offense (26 players)Quarterback:Locks: Patrick Mahomes, Chad Henne On the bubble: Matt McGloin, Chase LittonReid’s average: 3Prediction (3): Mahomes, Henne, LittonIt’s still Lit’. Everyone outside of 1 Arrowhead Drive has basically agreed that Chase Litton has earned the No. 3 quarterback job. Will the Chiefs’ brass agree?Running Back:Locks: Kareem Hunt, Spencer Ware, Damien WilliamsOn the bubble: Kerwynn Williams, Darrel Williams, Ray LawryReid’s average: 3.4Prediction (4): Hunt, Ware, Damien Williams, Darrel WilliamsDarrel looks like a lock at this point, and it would be very surprising if he isn’t on the roster or practice squad. The only question is, “How many Williams(es) do they keep?”Fullback: Locks: Anthony Sherman On the bubble: Algernon BrownReid’s average: 1Prediction (1): Sherman“The Sausage” returns for leadership and special teams reasons.Tight End:Locks: Travis Kelce, Demetrius HarrisOn the bubble: Alex Ellis, Tim Wright, Jace AmaroReid’s average: 3.2Prediction (3):Kelce, Harris (Amaro), EllisHarris will serve a suspension in Week 1.Expect Amaro to take his place until Week 2, Ellis looks like the No. 3.Wide receiver:Locks:Tyreek Hill, Sammy Watkins, Chris Conley, Demarcus RobinsonOn the bubble: Jehu Chesson, De’Anthony Thomas, Marcus Kemp, Gehrig Dieter, Daniel Braverman, Byron Pringle, Elijah Marks, Jordan Smallwood Kansas City Chiefs T-Shirt , Davon Grayson, Blake Mack, Josh CrockettReid’s average: 6Prediction (7): Hill, Watkins, Conley, Robinson, Thomas, Dieter, KempI think it’ll come down to special teams for the last couple of spots, so it’s DAT, Kemp and Dieter. Pringle certainly made his best case for a job against Green Bay, but will it be enough?Offensive line: Locks: Eric Fisher, Cameron Erving, Mitch Morse, Laurent Duvernay-Tardif, Mitchell Schwartz, On the bubble: Bryan Witzmann, Kahlil McKenzie, Andrew Wylie, Jordan Devey, Ryan Hunter, Jimmy Murray, Bentley Spain, Ethan CooperReid’s average: 8.4Prediction (8): Fisher, Erving, Morse, Duvernay-Tardif, Schwartz, Wylie, Witzmann, McKenzieThe big story is still the left guard position and the depth here. Erving has been the starting LG all preseason, but don’t count out Andrew Wylie, who could not only make the roster, but could also quietly challenge for playing time. Prior to Thursday’s game, the news broke of Parker Ehinger being traded to Dallas for cornerback Charvarius Ward. We had Ehinger as the odd man out in our prior prediction post, and it’s clear he wasn’t going to make the roster, so Brett Veach traded him for another young defender.Defense (24 players)Defensive line: Locks: Chris Jones, Xavier Williams, Allen Bailey, Jarvis Jenkins, Derrick NnadiOn the bubble: Justin Hamilton, Dee Liner, T.Y. McGill, Mike Purcell, Stefan CharlesReid’s average: 6.4Prediction (5): Jones, Williams, Nnadi, Bailey, JenkinsWe went light on the defensive line, given that Speaks and Tanoh can slide inside at times. Jarvis Jenkins and Justin Hamilton have been very good, along with T.Y.McGill—could one of them push Allen Bailey and his substantial contract off the roster?Outside linebacker: Locks: Justin Houston, Breeland Speaks, Tanoh Kpassagnon, Dee FordOn the bubble: Frank Zombo, Tyrone Holmes, Robert McCrayReid’s average: 4.8Prediction (4): Houston, Speaks, Tanoh, FordFans want to cut Zombo, and we doubt Toub does, but there’s a new four-man rotation at OLB, and Zombo doesn’t really fit.Inside linebacker: Locks: Reggie Ragland Kansas City Chiefs Hats , Anthony Hitchens, Dorian O’Daniel On the bubble: Ukeme Eligwe, Terrance Smith, Raymond Davison, Ben Niemann, Otha PetersReid’s average: 4.2Prediction (5):Ragland, Hitchens, O’Daniel, Eligwe, NiemannNiemann has done everything possible to win a roster spot, and we predict that he is rewarded after a tremendous offseason. Smith is the odd man out.Cornerback: Locks: Kendall Fuller, Steven Nelson, Tremon Smith, Orlando Scandrick, Charvarius WardOn the bubble: David Amerson, Will Redmond, Keith Reaser, Arrion Springs, D’Montre Wade, Dorleant Makinton, Step DurhamReid’s average: 5Prediction (6): Fuller, Nelson, Smith, Scandrick, Ward, SpringsAfter a frustrating preseason, David Amerson might just find himself on the roster bubble. He’s struggled each week, and the Chiefs have added two corners in the last 11 days, clearly showing they aren’t content with the position. We’ll predict they go with upside over experience and keep three rookie corners.Safety:Locks: Eric Berry, Armani Watts, Daniel Sorensen, Eric Murray On the bubble: Leon McQuay, Jordan SternsReid’s average: 4.6Prediction (4): Berry, Watts, Murray, Sorensen (McQuay)Sorensen is injured and is expected to return a few weeks into the season.Until then, expect McQuay to be on the roster in his place.This might be an area in which the team still really needs to add a player. Special teams (3 players)Placekicker: Prediction (1): Harrison Butker Long Snapper:Prediction (1): James Winchester Punter:Prediction (1):Dustin Colquitt Dave Toub’s comments confirmed that we already know the final depth chart for the kickers: “We’re so confident in the guys we have we want them to get as many reps,” Toub said. “And at the end of the day, is anybody going to come in here and beat Dustin Colquitt? Is anybody going to beat Harrison Butker?”Outside the 53Practice Squad:Makinton Dorleant, Robert McCray, Byron Pringle, Raymond Davison, Dee Liner, Ryan Hunter, Blake Mack, T.Y. McGill, D’Montre Wade, Jordan SternsLast Five ON: These guys make the initial roster, but they shouldn’t get too comfortable, as roster moves might still push them off.De’Anthony Thomas, Gehrig Dieter, Jace Amaro, Alex Ellis,Arrion SpringsLast Five OFF: These guys just miss the cut, but that could easily change.Jordan Devey, Justin Hamilton, Jehu Chesson, T.Y. McGill, Frank Zombo
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